http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/12/30/carville.2009/index.html?iref=newssearch
This article talk about predictions for the Democraric party and the hurdles that the GOP faces in the coming year. Check it out!
Wednesday, May 6, 2009
Sorting
The topic I’m choosing this week is whether the 2006 and 2008 elections strengthen or weaken Fiorina’s argument for sorting. I feel that in the 2006-2008 elections Fiorina’s argument is strengthened. Fiorina speaks of sorting in an example using and urn with marbles. One urn has 33 red (R), 33 BLUE (D), and 34 gray (I). The other urn has 50 red marbles (R) and 50 blue marbles (D). Fiorina says this is “what we think most people understand by polarization” (p. 61). The point here is that the gray (independents) have disappeared and that there are only two distinct parties. It seems now that there are no liberal Republicans or conservative Democrats.
Looking at the elections from 2006 the exit polls show that the numbers were very close with differences by only a few percentage points. There was also no other categories except for Republicans and Democrats. This illustrates polarization as well as the parties sorting themselves to either Democrats or Republicans.
CNN.com-Elections2006
As for the 2008 elections there seems to be more polarization. It seems that more people voted for either Democrats or Republicans than anything else. There is a spot for other, but just as Fiorina says with the marble example it is virtually non-existent.
CNN. Com/election/2008/results/polls
Also to talk about Fiorina’s argument a bit more, even if you look at the map of blue and red states we see that some states actually changed color from red to blue. Does this mean that there is even more polarization? I think this does because I feel that proves that the people that were once in the middle or moderates chose a side in the 2008 election.
Looking at the elections from 2006 the exit polls show that the numbers were very close with differences by only a few percentage points. There was also no other categories except for Republicans and Democrats. This illustrates polarization as well as the parties sorting themselves to either Democrats or Republicans.
CNN.com-Elections2006
As for the 2008 elections there seems to be more polarization. It seems that more people voted for either Democrats or Republicans than anything else. There is a spot for other, but just as Fiorina says with the marble example it is virtually non-existent.
CNN. Com/election/2008/results/polls
Also to talk about Fiorina’s argument a bit more, even if you look at the map of blue and red states we see that some states actually changed color from red to blue. Does this mean that there is even more polarization? I think this does because I feel that proves that the people that were once in the middle or moderates chose a side in the 2008 election.
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/29/us/politics/29decide.html?_r=1&hpw
This article is called "Early Resolve- Obama Stand in Auto Crisis
This article talks about what Obama plans to do if the Auto industries can't get their act together. Will Obama let any of the three Big Car Companies go under? It is a real possibility!!!
This article is called "Early Resolve- Obama Stand in Auto Crisis
This article talks about what Obama plans to do if the Auto industries can't get their act together. Will Obama let any of the three Big Car Companies go under? It is a real possibility!!!
Frank and Bartels
Both Frank and Bartels have good arguments against one another, but I'm going to hve to go with Frank and with his views. In 2008 the big issue had to deal with the economy and people voted accordingly with the Democrats to give them a chance. Bartels seems to use the poor get poorer and the rich get richer argument here. He talks about the Republican party creating the gap and making equality something that will never happen because Republicans have in the past seem to favor the rich.
Also in comparison to the working class that Frank talks about, what he says is th working class is much broader than what Bartels says is the working class. Franks describes working class as those without degrees. Also the conservatives were able to persuade white workers to vote in favor of them even though it didn't necessarily benefit them. This was to be blamed for Kerry's loss. You can't blame the conservatives for winning. Maybe they ran a better campaign and that seeing Bush in a cowboy hat and jeans made them realize that he was more like them than Kerry who's wife may not have known what chili was and the snobby attitude that Kerry seemed to be known for.
As for the 2008 election the economic issues dominated the election and the Democrats took office. Every election is different and will continue to be. It all depends on the issues that are important at the time of races that will determine who will win. Also another factor that will be of importance will be if the candidates and parties can persuade people from the other side as did Obama in 2008.
Also in comparison to the working class that Frank talks about, what he says is th working class is much broader than what Bartels says is the working class. Franks describes working class as those without degrees. Also the conservatives were able to persuade white workers to vote in favor of them even though it didn't necessarily benefit them. This was to be blamed for Kerry's loss. You can't blame the conservatives for winning. Maybe they ran a better campaign and that seeing Bush in a cowboy hat and jeans made them realize that he was more like them than Kerry who's wife may not have known what chili was and the snobby attitude that Kerry seemed to be known for.
As for the 2008 election the economic issues dominated the election and the Democrats took office. Every election is different and will continue to be. It all depends on the issues that are important at the time of races that will determine who will win. Also another factor that will be of importance will be if the candidates and parties can persuade people from the other side as did Obama in 2008.
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/06/19/mayor-bloomberg-quits-the-gop/?scp=3&sq=political%20parties&st=Search
This article is called "Mayor Bloomberg Quits the G.O.P."
This article talks abou how Myor Bloomberg is now considring himself as an independent and planned to run as such or as a third-party candidate. He says he wants to put partisanship aside and focus on real issues with real solutions. Check it out!!
This article is called "Mayor Bloomberg Quits the G.O.P."
This article talks abou how Myor Bloomberg is now considring himself as an independent and planned to run as such or as a third-party candidate. He says he wants to put partisanship aside and focus on real issues with real solutions. Check it out!!
A New Party
This week’s blog is to focus on what would happen if a new political party formed and what would it look like? I would like to take this stance as if the Republican Party collapsed. What would come from the so called “ashes” is what I feel would be a moderate party.
It seems that in the past elections the Democratic Party as well as the Republican Party has become very polarized. The Democrats seem to be more to the left than ever and Republicans more to the right. This polarization is forcing people to pick sides and most people these days are shifting more to the Democratic Party.
In our readings it is said that the political party must be understood in three parts. Those three parts are the party in the electorate, the party in government, and the party in an organization (Aldrich, p.164). As far as the new party goes in the electorate the moderate new party would have to work more with liberal views and make them more right leaning in order to gain support from still conservative voters. Also by doing this in elections this might shift our traditionally conservative states that went democrat in the past election back to being more Republican. As far as the party in government they will obviously have to take a more moderate stance on issues that the Republicans would normally own. This would push Republicans more to the left, but it is much better than pushing them completely out and only having one political party. As for party organization the party will have to organize to persuade those states that have been in the past more conservative to being more moderate.
The party’s leaders can no longer be someone who is a polarized candidate, but somebody with more moderate views. A name that comes to mind as a possible candidate would be Nancy Pelosi. As far as the platforms goes at first it must be more moderate, but as time goes by the party could push itself back towards the right which would mean a more competitive race for office.
It seems that in the past elections the Democratic Party as well as the Republican Party has become very polarized. The Democrats seem to be more to the left than ever and Republicans more to the right. This polarization is forcing people to pick sides and most people these days are shifting more to the Democratic Party.
In our readings it is said that the political party must be understood in three parts. Those three parts are the party in the electorate, the party in government, and the party in an organization (Aldrich, p.164). As far as the new party goes in the electorate the moderate new party would have to work more with liberal views and make them more right leaning in order to gain support from still conservative voters. Also by doing this in elections this might shift our traditionally conservative states that went democrat in the past election back to being more Republican. As far as the party in government they will obviously have to take a more moderate stance on issues that the Republicans would normally own. This would push Republicans more to the left, but it is much better than pushing them completely out and only having one political party. As for party organization the party will have to organize to persuade those states that have been in the past more conservative to being more moderate.
The party’s leaders can no longer be someone who is a polarized candidate, but somebody with more moderate views. A name that comes to mind as a possible candidate would be Nancy Pelosi. As far as the platforms goes at first it must be more moderate, but as time goes by the party could push itself back towards the right which would mean a more competitive race for office.
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
Should GOP go upscale
This article is called "Should GOP Go Upscale."
It talks about who the GOP should target for better results in the 2012 election as well as how targeting a crtaon group could help them win. Check it out.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/02/the_gop_should_go_upscale.html
It talks about who the GOP should target for better results in the 2012 election as well as how targeting a crtaon group could help them win. Check it out.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/02/the_gop_should_go_upscale.html
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